Monday, August 28, 2023

Future Tripping For No Good Reason


I'm just going to say it- I've had an absolutely shitty day today. 

I think I'm having major anxiety. That or, you know- a heart attack. Could be that but I'm betting on the anxiety because of this coming storm. Possibly coming storm. 
As I just wrote a friend, it's not like I've never done this dance before. Hell, y'all have seen me get worked up many times about storms that didn't end up coming anywhere near here. And this could be just like that. That graphic up there is from the New York Times and I'm thinking they are being pretty dramatic with all of the reds and yellows. Here's a table they also posted.


And honestly- this sort of "information" is just about useless. 

I just checked my favorite Meteorologist's Facebook page and here's what he just posted:

#TropicalThoughts Monday August 28, Evening Edition :
Just a quickie while taking a short break from the drive to read the latest from the NHC and peek at the satellite imagery…
IDALIA is not a Hurricane yet, but it’s getting awfully close. The convective bursts near that core (thunderstorms) are getting impressive and the whole satellite presentation is also getting more impressive.
It’s still SOUTH of the Western Tip of Cuba.
The computers are still a little too different from each other for me to feel comfortable buying any of what they’re selling - that cone is going to shift more, likely once IDALIA gets farther N. So let’s still not get hung up on the current cone, we expect it to change still. And remember, small changes in location and movement now means LARGE changes in where the storm will eventually go 48hrs from now.
I’ll have the full battery of info tomorrow morning, when I’m back at the station. And I think we should have a better feel for the “where” part tomorrow too. I will be surprised if it is not being called a Hurricane by then. And it’s gonna get stronger, probably a whole bunch. And it feels like a large chunk of the W Coast of the FL Peninsula will be first up to deal with it. But tomorrow I should know more.
I trust him.
So many of the damn meteorologists are huge alarmists which is probably great for their numbers on social media and TV and in print media but they're not doing folks any favors with their hype and horror. Yes, hurricanes can be and are fucking dangerous and people can die and the storms do unfathomable amounts of damage to homes and forests and beaches and commercial property. We all know this. But what good does it do to alarm an entire state when the computer models are still all duking it out?
A few days ago, Nucatola told people that although there was no way to tell yet if what was then a tropical depression was going to become a threat, it was a good reminder to get things ready because this is the time of year when we need to be prepared.
Perfect. And correct.

Universities and schools in Tallahassee have announced closures starting Wednesday. So has just about everyone else. Except the Waffle House, of course. If they close, it is beyond dire.

And here I am completely stressing out while writing about the uselessness of stressing out. We have a good solid house that has survived who knows how many hurricanes in its over 160 years. Our kids have good houses and can always come stay with us if they want. We have a generator that kicks ass and runs everything. We have food. And of course Publix reopens the second a storm has passed, using massive generators. This is not like living in Miami in the 1800's.

And as I write this, we're just about to get what looks to be a very good thunderstorm. Not related at all to Idalia.


And that's what the National Hurricane Center has posted this evening. That dang old cone of uncertainty that Nucatola warns us about.

I think I better just go make our supper and get my shit together.

Love...Ms. Moon







21 comments:

  1. storms of any kind are just never totally predictable....it's called *nature*. All you can do is be prepared and have a plan...... and I keep watch over your situation from here in Coastal Central Calif......where it was 103 degrees today....... and I am NOT a happy camper. Don't have the anxiety that you have (and rightfully so).....but I'm just peeved beyond belief.....and damned uncomfortable. Sending good thoughts that you will all be safe and well......will keep my eye on you all!
    Love to all
    Susan M
    Susan M

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    1. PS......but I DO have *some* anxiety FOR you! Please know that!
      Susan M

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  2. I can only Hope the Storm avoids you, but I completely understand the level of Anxiety of waiting and not knowing for sure if something catastrophic that way comes. When that rare Hurricane recently hit Mexico and Cali here on the West Coast, they were predicting catastrophic damage, flooding and loss of life even Inland, since, they hadn't had one hit the West Coast in almost a Century. So, we prepared and got Anxious, luckily the trajectory changed and it went more towards Nevada than Arizona, but Cali and Mexico did get hammered and couldn't avoid it once it hit land. I pray you'll all be Safe and no damage, better to have been Anxious for nothing than for something, Right? Big Hugs. Mother Nature can be so unpredictable and fierce.

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    1. PS: Cali actually had the Hurricane, an Earthquake and a Tornado hit all at once, I didn't even know that was possible!!!

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  3. I'm sorry about how unpredictable the weather is, whatever the weather people say, and how waiting can get on your nerves. I think the fact that you've been there before doesn't help, it just reminds you of the anxiety then. Meanwhile, dinner, breathing, do you have a puzzle ongoing?

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    1. You know what? I do have a puzzle going and I worked on it for quite awhile today. Once again- it helped.

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  4. The media sure knows how to get people worried…! Here’s to you and all of Tallahassee having breakfast at the Waffle House, after the forecast proved wrong!🤞🙏❤️XO, Rigmor

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  5. My daughter and her family are in Jacksonville. I think i’m more stressed than she is. I wish i had encouraging words for you. But, it sounds like you know all the tricks.

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  6. thinking of you all! this one's too far east to run up the mississippi to see us as a tropical depression- xxalainaxx

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  7. The uncertainty is what kills us. If you knew it was going to hit you would be prepared and calm. OK, and a tad anxious.
    I hope it passes you by or peters out before it gets to you but either way I know you will be alright. I do worry about those who are not as fortunate, though. Nature is a vicious mistress, sometimes.

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  8. We just had a tornado and an earthquake and seem to be back to normal. I do worry about you; other folks' weather seems worse than ours, and often is. But try not to stress; that house can pick up Idalia and toss her back to the ocean.

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  9. Will be waiting to hear. Fingers crossed for you.

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  10. Anxiety solidary from the PNW (for non-weather related reasons).

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  11. We get a few wild and windy days here in Adelaide, mostly at night for some odd reason, but we don't get hurricanes and I'm glad of that.
    How close to your nearest town is it expected to get? I'll keep my fingers crossed Idalia passes you by and doesn't do too much damage wherever it hits.

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  12. I hope everythings ok for you guys. Sending hugs and love Mary.

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  13. the Gulf has been very quiet so far this year. I say that at the risk of invoking the gods. but to be honest, I'd welcome a tropical storm about now. I hope the brunt of Idalia passes you by.

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  14. Still thinking about you and your family, hoping you’ll stay safe!❤️Rigmor

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  15. Though it looks like you will be close to the storm you should be on the calmer side...so there's that.

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  16. Got a candle going for everyone in the path of this bitch. Glad you have a generator with the heat so awful.
    Xoxo
    Barbara

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  17. Well, a certain degree of anxiety is definitely understandable! I'd be feeling it too!

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Tell me, sweeties. Tell me what you think.